Scrap: A silver bullet for decarbonisation?
Steel is theoretically infinitely recyclable, and using recycled steel, or scrap steel, is one of the most direct ways to reduce emissions from steelmaking. Scrap is primarily melted in Electric Arc Furnaces (EAFs), which can operate on up to 100% scrap, but it is also used in smaller quantities in Blast Furnaces (BFs) to lower emissions and improve efficiency.
Since the first commercial EAF was built in 1906, demand for scrap has grown. Understanding the limits of scrap availability is critical to effectively driving decarbonisation at a global level.
The scrap quandary
Despite a global steel recycling rate of around 85%, today’s scrap supply can meet only about 32% of global demand for new steel. This is largely due to the gap between historical steel consumption and current steel demand.
On average, steel remains in use for around 35 years across infrastructure, buildings, transport and packaging. As a result, the amount of post-consumer scrap available today is largely determined by how much steel was produced three to four decades ago, and steel demand has increased significantly since then. In 1989, global steel production stood at approximately 0.78 billion tonnes, while in 2024, it had reached 1.9 billion tonnes.
Although scrap availability will increase as today’s steel products eventually reach the end of their lifecycle, global demand for steel is also expected to rise. The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that even in its Sustainable Development Scenario—which assumes strong improvements in material efficiency—scrap will meet only around 46% of global demand for new steel by 2050. This means that the steel industry cannot rely on scrap alone to lower emissions, primary production routes will also need to be decarbonised.
Read more about the history of scrap in steelmaking and its role in driving decarbonisation here.
Steel scrap in numbers
Understanding scrap, or recycled steel, availability is key to decarbonising steel. These figures show the role scrap can play in reducing emissions and the limits to meeting global steel demand.
According to EuRIC, scrap can effectively reduce a steelmaker’s direct (Scope 1) emissions by up to 58%.
According to the World Steel Association, 85% of steel is estimated to be recycled globally.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), 46% of steel demand will be able to be met by scrap by 2050.
35 years is the average lifespan of a steel product.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), 32% of steel demand can currently be met with scrap.



